Global
Russia and Ukraine will sign a peace deal win the next 90 days?
Trading ends in 89 days
YES
48%
Payout: 2.08x
NO
52%
Payout: 1.92x
Probability over time
YES and NO implied probabilities over time. Each point shows the market's implied chance for each side.
Context
Resolution source: Official sources. Market resolves when the outcome is determined; payouts are automatic for winning positions.