Energy
Will Nigeria's petrol subsidy bill fall below ₦1 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year?
Trading ends in 384 days
YES
50%
Payout: 2.00x
NO
50%
Payout: 2.00x
Probability over time
YES and NO implied probabilities over time. Each point shows the market's implied chance for each side.
Context
Resolution source: Federal Government budget execution reports and audited subsidy accounts.. Market resolves when the outcome is determined; payouts are automatic for winning positions.