Energy
Will Kenya commission its first large-scale floating solar plant (≥50 MW) before 30 June 2028?
Trading ends in 841 days
YES
51%
Payout: 1.96x
NO
49%
Payout: 2.04x
Probability over time
YES and NO implied probabilities over time. Each point shows the market's implied chance for each side.
Context
Resolution source: KenGen, EPRA and project developer commissioning notices.. Market resolves when the outcome is determined; payouts are automatic for winning positions.