Energy
Will at least one green hydrogen export project in North Africa reach FID before 31 December 2027?
Trading ends in 659 days
YES
50%
Payout: 2.00x
NO
50%
Payout: 2.00x
Probability over time
YES and NO implied probabilities over time. Each point shows the market's implied chance for each side.
Context
Resolution source: Project sponsor announcements and government investment approvals.. Market resolves when the outcome is determined; payouts are automatic for winning positions.